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Spillover from Singapore's moratorium; water allocation under review.
Supply as reported: Grid, largely gas; solar PPAs
A photoreal aerial of this facility as specified: halls, towers, substation and supply, placed in the landscape SAM measured.
Pulls a satellite view of the site and asks Segment Anything 3.1 for buildings, surface water, solar arrays and open land. The masks become hectares and distances, which replace the country priors for land and water in every estimate of this site, labelled as measured.
No energy mix tested makes Johor Bahru cluster both financeable and acceptable to the community. The plan below is the least-bad configuration and still fails at least one floor.
| Metric | This mix | Baseline |
|---|---|---|
| Build cost | $53.0B | $53.0B |
| Months to live | 61 | 61 |
| Blended power | $0.042/kWh | $0.042/kWh |
| Utilization | 62% | 62% |
| EBITDA / yr | $13.8B | $13.8B |
| Payback | 3.8 yrs | 3.8 yrs |
| IRR | 9.7% | 9.7% |
| CO₂ / yr | 3,659,372 t | 3,659,372 t |
| Carbon intensity | 322 g/kWh | 322 g/kWh |
| Water / yr | 15,363,097 m³ | 15,363,097 m³ |
| Grid draw vs headroom | 46% | 46% |
| Land | 1,307 ha | 1,307 ha |
| Permanent jobs | 1,098 | 1,098 |
| Nuisance index | 53 | 53 |
| Industrial power | $0.075/kWh |
| Grid carbon | 550 g/kWh |
| Interconnect lead | 12 months |
| Grid headroom | 600 MW |
| Grid reliability | 95% |
| Construction trades | 15,000 @ $10/h |
| Land index | 1.00× |
| Sentiment | 66 / 100 |
| Climate · water | hot · medium stress |
| Solar · wind | 0.70 · 0.20 |
| Geothermal · flare gas | no · no |
| People within 5 km | unknown |
| Name | Mix | Score | Payback | Verdict | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline as reportedbaseline | 52% on-site · 30% solar · 17% grid | 56 | 3.8 yrs | No go |
| Supply mix | 50% small · 30% solar · 20% wind |
| IT load | 1,200 MW |
| Hardware | B200 · 80 kW racks |
| Crew · automation | 2,500 · 20% |
| Plan scores | 64 · E 49 · Env 72 · C 75 |
| Live in · payback | 61 mo · 4.6 yrs |
| Clears the floors | no |
| Mix | Viable | Score | Payback | IRR | CO₂ kt/yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renewables + SMR 50% small · 30% solar · 20% wind | no | 64 | 4.6 yrs | 5% | 164 |
| Gas + solar 50% on-site · 50% solar | no | 60 | 4.1 yrs | 8% | 2,465 |
| Hydro PPA + grid 60% hydro · 40% grid | no | 59 | 3.6 yrs | 12% | 2,696 |
| SMR long-term 70% small · 30% grid | no | 58 | 3.9 yrs | 10% | 2,037 |
| As proposed (52% on-site · 30% solar · 17% grid) 52% on-site · 30% solar · 17% grid | no | 56 | 3.8 yrs | 10% | 3,659 |
| Gas bridge 70% on-site · 30% grid | no | 53 | 3.4 yrs | 13% | 5,403 |
| Solar + wind + grid backup 40% solar · 30% grid · 30% wind | no | 52 | 4.7 yrs | 4% | 1,898 |
| Grid only 100% grid | no | 51 | 3.5 yrs | 12% | 6,475 |
| Grid + solar 60% grid · 40% solar | no | 51 | 4.0 yrs | 8% | 3,814 |
| Grid + wind 60% grid · 40% wind | no | 50 | 4.3 yrs | 7% | 3,678 |